crypto by, Knowledge

2024-12-14 01:19:36

First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.I think fans and friends have a deep understanding of this point. For example, some stock review articles are titled "Big Good, Heavy, Super", and some of them have the words "Good" every day. It can be seen that the second half of this wave of 924 market is not simply dependent on good, but inseparable.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.


The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.First, basically similar to April and May this year, the market will surprise everyone from time to time and hit a new high.First, this is mainly reflected in the current situation of A-shares themselves: it is inseparable from the positive, and the hype foundation of A-shares in the past three years is being weakened.


Because A-shares often support the market, big index stocks have not gone up less. When we look at the increase of big index stocks and small and medium-sized stocks together, they are basically the same, both at a relatively high level. In this way, big index stocks are even less dominant. Banks have gone up for 10 years, and oil and coal have gone up for four years. These small and medium-sized stocks have only gone up for more than a month, but the increase is relatively large, so there is no basis for size conversion, that is,A-shares: Is it to start the second wave of surge, or to attract more? Will tomorrow be Black Friday?A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.

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